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Mass Media and the Contagion of Fear: The Case of Ebola in America

Overview of attention for article published in PLOS ONE, June 2015
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Title
Mass Media and the Contagion of Fear: The Case of Ebola in America
Published in
PLOS ONE, June 2015
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0129179
Pubmed ID
Authors

Sherry Towers, Shehzad Afzal, Gilbert Bernal, Nadya Bliss, Shala Brown, Baltazar Espinoza, Jasmine Jackson, Julia Judson-Garcia, Maryam Khan, Michael Lin, Robert Mamada, Victor M. Moreno, Fereshteh Nazari, Kamaldeen Okuneye, Mary L. Ross, Claudia Rodriguez, Jan Medlock, David Ebert, Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Abstract

In the weeks following the first imported case of Ebola in the U. S. on September 29, 2014, coverage of the very limited outbreak dominated the news media, in a manner quite disproportionate to the actual threat to national public health; by the end of October, 2014, there were only four laboratory confirmed cases of Ebola in the entire nation. Public interest in these events was high, as reflected in the millions of Ebola-related Internet searches and tweets performed in the month following the first confirmed case. Use of trending Internet searches and tweets has been proposed in the past for real-time prediction of outbreaks (a field referred to as "digital epidemiology"), but accounting for the biases of public panic has been problematic. In the case of the limited U. S. Ebola outbreak, we know that the Ebola-related searches and tweets originating the U. S. during the outbreak were due only to public interest or panic, providing an unprecedented means to determine how these dynamics affect such data, and how news media may be driving these trends. We examine daily Ebola-related Internet search and Twitter data in the U. S. during the six week period ending Oct 31, 2014. TV news coverage data were obtained from the daily number of Ebola-related news videos appearing on two major news networks. We fit the parameters of a mathematical contagion model to the data to determine if the news coverage was a significant factor in the temporal patterns in Ebola-related Internet and Twitter data. We find significant evidence of contagion, with each Ebola-related news video inspiring tens of thousands of Ebola-related tweets and Internet searches. Between 65% to 76% of the variance in all samples is described by the news media contagion model.

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Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
Malaysia 1 <1%
United States 1 <1%
Germany 1 <1%
Unknown 238 99%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Student > Master 37 15%
Student > Ph. D. Student 33 14%
Student > Bachelor 32 13%
Researcher 30 12%
Other 12 5%
Other 47 20%
Unknown 50 21%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Social Sciences 39 16%
Medicine and Dentistry 34 14%
Agricultural and Biological Sciences 13 5%
Psychology 13 5%
Nursing and Health Professions 11 5%
Other 71 29%
Unknown 60 25%