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The Use of Climatic Niches in Screening Procedures for Introduced Species to Evaluate Risk of Spread: A Case with the American Eastern Grey Squirrel

Overview of attention for article published in PLOS ONE, July 2013
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Title
The Use of Climatic Niches in Screening Procedures for Introduced Species to Evaluate Risk of Spread: A Case with the American Eastern Grey Squirrel
Published in
PLOS ONE, July 2013
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0066559
Pubmed ID
Authors

Mirko Di Febbraro, Peter W. W. Lurz, Piero Genovesi, Luigi Maiorano, Marco Girardello, Sandro Bertolino

Abstract

Species introduction represents one of the most serious threats for biodiversity. The realized climatic niche of an invasive species can be used to predict its potential distribution in new areas, providing a basis for screening procedures in the compilation of black and white lists to prevent new introductions. We tested this assertion by modeling the realized climatic niche of the Eastern grey squirrel Sciurus carolinensis. Maxent was used to develop three models: one considering only records from the native range (NRM), a second including records from native and invasive range (NIRM), a third calibrated with invasive occurrences and projected in the native range (RCM). Niche conservatism was tested considering both a niche equivalency and a niche similarity test. NRM failed to predict suitable parts of the currently invaded range in Europe, while RCM underestimated the suitability in the native range. NIRM accurately predicted both the native and invasive range. The niche equivalency hypothesis was rejected due to a significant difference between the grey squirrel's niche in native and invasive ranges. The niche similarity test yielded no significant results. Our analyses support the hypothesis of a shift in the species' climatic niche in the area of introductions. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) appear to be a useful tool in the compilation of black lists, allowing identifying areas vulnerable to invasions. We advise caution in the use of SDMs based only on the native range of a species for the compilation of white lists for other geographic areas, due to the significant risk of underestimating its potential invasive range.

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Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
Denmark 2 1%
United States 2 1%
Italy 2 1%
Brazil 1 <1%
South Africa 1 <1%
Colombia 1 <1%
Argentina 1 <1%
Germany 1 <1%
Spain 1 <1%
Other 1 <1%
Unknown 135 91%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Researcher 39 26%
Student > Ph. D. Student 25 17%
Student > Master 17 11%
Student > Bachelor 15 10%
Professor 8 5%
Other 27 18%
Unknown 17 11%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Agricultural and Biological Sciences 66 45%
Environmental Science 50 34%
Earth and Planetary Sciences 2 1%
Engineering 2 1%
Immunology and Microbiology 1 <1%
Other 3 2%
Unknown 24 16%