Title |
Projecting Range Limits with Coupled Thermal Tolerance - Climate Change Models: An Example Based on Gray Snapper (Lutjanus griseus) along the U.S. East Coast
|
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Published in |
PLOS ONE, December 2012
|
DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0052294 |
Pubmed ID | |
Authors |
Jonathan A. Hare, Mark J. Wuenschel, Matthew E. Kimball |
Abstract |
We couple a species range limit hypothesis with the output of an ensemble of general circulation models to project the poleward range limit of gray snapper. Using laboratory-derived thermal limits and statistical downscaling from IPCC AR4 general circulation models, we project that gray snapper will shift northwards; the magnitude of this shift is dependent on the magnitude of climate change. We also evaluate the uncertainty in our projection and find that statistical uncertainty associated with the experimentally-derived thermal limits is the largest contributor (∼ 65%) to overall quantified uncertainty. This finding argues for more experimental work aimed at understanding and parameterizing the effects of climate change and variability on marine species. |
Mendeley readers
Geographical breakdown
Country | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
United Kingdom | 1 | 2% |
Mexico | 1 | 2% |
Unknown | 60 | 97% |
Demographic breakdown
Readers by professional status | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Researcher | 17 | 27% |
Student > Ph. D. Student | 15 | 24% |
Student > Master | 8 | 13% |
Other | 5 | 8% |
Student > Bachelor | 5 | 8% |
Other | 4 | 6% |
Unknown | 8 | 13% |
Readers by discipline | Count | As % |
---|---|---|
Agricultural and Biological Sciences | 33 | 53% |
Environmental Science | 12 | 19% |
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology | 2 | 3% |
Earth and Planetary Sciences | 2 | 3% |
Social Sciences | 2 | 3% |
Other | 2 | 3% |
Unknown | 9 | 15% |