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An Emperor Penguin Population Estimate: The First Global, Synoptic Survey of a Species from Space

Overview of attention for article published in PLOS ONE, April 2012
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Title
An Emperor Penguin Population Estimate: The First Global, Synoptic Survey of a Species from Space
Published in
PLOS ONE, April 2012
DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0033751
Pubmed ID
Authors

Peter T. Fretwell, Michelle A. LaRue, Paul Morin, Gerald L. Kooyman, Barbara Wienecke, Norman Ratcliffe, Adrian J. Fox, Andrew H. Fleming, Claire Porter, Phil N. Trathan

Abstract

Our aim was to estimate the population of emperor penguins (Aptenodytes fosteri) using a single synoptic survey. We examined the whole continental coastline of Antarctica using a combination of medium resolution and Very High Resolution (VHR) satellite imagery to identify emperor penguin colony locations. Where colonies were identified, VHR imagery was obtained in the 2009 breeding season. The remotely-sensed images were then analysed using a supervised classification method to separate penguins from snow, shadow and guano. Actual counts of penguins from eleven ground truthing sites were used to convert these classified areas into numbers of penguins using a robust regression algorithm.We found four new colonies and confirmed the location of three previously suspected sites giving a total number of emperor penguin breeding colonies of 46. We estimated the breeding population of emperor penguins at each colony during 2009 and provide a population estimate of ~238,000 breeding pairs (compared with the last previously published count of 135,000-175,000 pairs). Based on published values of the relationship between breeders and non-breeders, this translates to a total population of ~595,000 adult birds.There is a growing consensus in the literature that global and regional emperor penguin populations will be affected by changing climate, a driver thought to be critical to their future survival. However, a complete understanding is severely limited by the lack of detailed knowledge about much of their ecology, and importantly a poor understanding of their total breeding population. To address the second of these issues, our work now provides a comprehensive estimate of the total breeding population that can be used in future population models and will provide a baseline for long-term research.

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Geographical breakdown

Country Count As %
United Kingdom 3 <1%
Japan 3 <1%
United States 2 <1%
Brazil 2 <1%
Australia 2 <1%
France 1 <1%
Germany 1 <1%
Chile 1 <1%
Ecuador 1 <1%
Other 9 2%
Unknown 336 93%

Demographic breakdown

Readers by professional status Count As %
Researcher 71 20%
Student > Master 62 17%
Student > Bachelor 51 14%
Student > Ph. D. Student 48 13%
Other 27 7%
Other 46 13%
Unknown 56 16%
Readers by discipline Count As %
Agricultural and Biological Sciences 128 35%
Environmental Science 81 22%
Earth and Planetary Sciences 27 7%
Computer Science 11 3%
Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology 10 3%
Other 35 10%
Unknown 69 19%