@vcolizza Understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is crucial for controlling epidemics while preserving the population operativeness [https://t.co/1dAUv2Ztl4] 2/
@JanBvanE @Ammer_B @bosmana @ArnoldNiessen @edwinveldhuizen Ik had je van de week al deze laten zien, hoe er begin februari schijnbaar over immuniteit werd gepraat, en zie deze paper van dezelfde auteurs als het Lancetcommentaar dat is gebruikt voor onze
@StefSimanowitz @carolecadwalla The UK-Dutch authors of the Lancet commentary (its core figure also used while Edmunds explained herd immunity on BBC Newsnight) also wrote an influenza mitigation paper focussing on economy&society instead of public hea
@corinevloet @MerlotVine Van dezelfde auteurs als het Lancetcommentaar, over influenza-mitigatie, met een nadruk op verschillende beleidsdoelen en politieke keuzes, zoals: “The higher the transmission rate, the shorter the epidemic, which may be a desirabl
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
@jaapstronks Surprised about Heesterbeek. The same authors wrote “Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza A: Balancing Conflicting Policy Objectives” with seemingly the same line of advice, making me wonder if containment was ever seriously considered
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
RT @DiseaseEcology: Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockd…
Note: total deaths would be less than these early predictions due to interventions we've taken: less overshoot. (Lockdowns have already paid dividends, but aren't enough!) See nice work @DeirdreHoll on impact of temporary interventions for flu (Fig 3). ht
@CorGotLucky @TheWerelizard @Small_And_Tired https://t.co/tP349mITw7 Here, because clearly you fuckers can't be arsed to go further than Fox News or MSNBC. You've got time. Read.
@John_Evans_CA @JeanMcB01916866 @sortaskeptical @LoriInEnglewood @YahooNews now you're arguing in circles. We mitigate pandemics by reducing transmission. It's been the playbook for about ten years now. https://t.co/VWKwpxOraD
@JoacimRocklov "However, this will crucially depend on the socio-economic costs of both cases and interventions and on the estimated severity of the epidemic, which may be uncertain in the early stages of the epidemic" https://t.co/fEBfGUB6XD
RT @bolkerb: @AnilMakam @SFAckley I don't know of anything you can use off the shelf. https://t.co/utFDMjEVOj makes some influenza-specific…
@AnilMakam @SFAckley I don't know of anything you can use off the shelf. https://t.co/utFDMjEVOj makes some influenza-specific assumptions but is not bad.
@bolkerb @jd_mathbio @CT_Bergstrom What is "technically wrong" about flatten the curve pictures? They show that reducing contacts/transmission reduce peak transmission. I don't see anything wrong with that. Also, timing of interventions has huge effect on
@flimsin From https://t.co/5yWi6JA12n Imagine continuing restrictions after 3 months when you're still seeing only a trickle of cases. (The current 1k notified cases is the line thickness on this graph!) I'm sure this is behind govt thinking.
RT @arthurturrell: @t0nyyates And this one on mitigation and policy choices to combat pandemic influenza (uses an SIR model): https://t.co/…
@t0nyyates And this one on mitigation and policy choices to combat pandemic influenza (uses an SIR model): https://t.co/h9LVnB9L1T
@krelbourne35 @Shamils18 @GeorgeMonbiot Otherwise we wouldn't be here to discuss it. Just to be clear once again, tho I don't see why it needs to be said. I am not in favour of people getting ill, and the extreme cases of COVID look horrible. The epidemic
Relevant evidence on the trade-off between different mitigation approaches. https://t.co/CmgxJCFsbQ
@SenDougJones @GovernorKayIvey @RepByrne …https://t.co/VLokXUdq4O 1- Mitigation strategies for Pandemic Influenza https://t.co/VP0JO7bdIV Signs that COVID-19 is a serious threat: Outbreak is globally spread: …
Great analysis. We found a similar result in an old paper https://t.co/lw06TMMw52
RT @DeirdreHoll: @joshmich In *theory* the more you intervene to flatten the peak, the longer you might have to keep your interventions in…
@joshmich In *theory* the more you intervene to flatten the peak, the longer you might have to keep your interventions in place - of course it depends on what happens in terms of transmission, treatments and seasonality in the next few months. https://t.co
— the ideal strategy depends on the aim of an intervention and that the achievement of one policy objective may preclude success with others — constraining demand for public health resources may lengthen the duration #isciii #COVID https://t.co/8nO4cnj4f
Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza A: Balancing Conflicting Policy Objectives #isciii #Covid_19 https://t.co/8nO4cnj4fU
@AdamJKucharski We did a little toy modelling of this in 2010, but I haven’t stayed in touch with the literature @donkeyshot https://t.co/lw06TMMw52
RT @PejRohani: @nikcunniffe @RobinNThompson @plantsci This paper by @DeirdreHoll is also highly relevant #PLOSCompBio: Mitigation Strateg…
Thank you for the reference - which will take a bit of time to digest - but on first glance looks very interesting... https://t.co/jCY8wO1XJx
@nikcunniffe @RobinNThompson @plantsci This paper by @DeirdreHoll is also highly relevant #PLOSCompBio: Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza A: Balancing Conflicting Policy Objectives https://t.co/MQfc5MsCAb